Movies · resolved market
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0537a3138b730202be0c6cea77afd85e8fbe9d97ecde32a2dad0e7130bdcb13f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 1,568$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.68 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 15c | 730$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 17c | 721$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked No | 71c | 720$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 13c | 656$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 55c | 621$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.89 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 42c | 583.43$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.04 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 14c | 548$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 13c | 537$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 39c | 534.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 28c | 519.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 18c | 513$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 59c | 507$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 79c | 478$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 16c | 464$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 22c | 444$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 18c | 409$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 15c | 398$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 16c | 398$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 15c | 393$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 73c | 368$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes | 28c | 349$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 17c | 335$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed No | 68c | 309$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +73%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 16c | 303$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 16c | 293$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 13c | 271$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 32c | 264$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 72c | 256$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed No | 61c | 251$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 13c | 249$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 80c | 243$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 66c | 229.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 16c | 229$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 16c | 209$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 35c | 208.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 17c | 206.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 20c | 203.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 16c | 201$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 29c | 198$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 28c | 198$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 22c | 195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 14c | 191$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes | 36c | 189$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 39c | 187$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed No | 65c | 187$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 13c | 186$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 32c | 184$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 183$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 58c | 176$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 20c | 174.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed No | 66c | 159$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 32c | 157.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked No | 67c | 149.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 34c | 145$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 16c | 142$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 35c | 128$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 70c | 122$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 62c | 122$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 53c | 121.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 29c | 119.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked No | 63c | 119$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Yes | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked Yes | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked No | 64c | 114$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 71c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 39c | 107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…e6f2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked Yes | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 11c | 94.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 79c | 81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 80c | 81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed No | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…a8aabacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed No | 32c | 77.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed No | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 68.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 28c | 64.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 72c | 64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Francine Maisler (Sinners) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada (Rental Family) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann (F1) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Margery Simkin (Avatar: Fire and Ash) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.