TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fa5…8f79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT7450%37 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$54.2
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$48.45
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.86
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$403.61
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.2
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.55
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$50.37
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+166.5%+$216.5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$36.54
Will Jane Austen's Period Drama win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$121.66
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+521.4%+$291.98
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.2%+$36.11
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$36.68
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$101.62
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+271.5%+$135.77
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+184.3%+$92.17
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25.8%+$51.57
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$50.03
Kyren Williams: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will Micah Parsons leave the Cowboys before Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+918.2%+$183.64
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+123.7%+$37.12
Will Joe Milton not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Cowboys hire Kellen Moore as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Cowboys hire Deion Sanders as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$43.09
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$47.67
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+434.8%+$152.17
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+151.8%+$113.88
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will "Golden - Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$25.36
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$52.02
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$42.39
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will OG win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight ends in Draw/Not Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+84.8%+$25.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.