Movies · resolved market
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa3f2c6081c96848a9afa3ef3c64004569cd129ce2cb4c2859e62ea586098e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,149 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Yes | 29c | 5,135$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 23c | 4,708$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.33 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 75c | 4,344$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.26 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 26c | 3,887$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.47 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…bbffbacked Yes | 67c | 3,775$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 71c | 3,630$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 3,408$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.77 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 42c | 3,220$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.1 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 6c | 3,049$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 59c | 2,876$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.59 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 29c | 2,710$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.89 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Yes | 38c | 2,400$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 2,331$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.69 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 35c | 2,045$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed No | 48c | 1,928$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 47c | 1,706$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.92 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 27c | 1,700$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.57 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 36c | 1,681$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 41c | 1,650$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.05 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,639$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.21 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 1,535$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.03 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 49c | 1,279$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.02 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 53c | 1,273$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.95 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 51c | 1,216$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 29c | 1,160$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 54c | 1,151$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 51c | 1,132$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 74c | 1,118$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…9e74backed Yes | 21c | 1,117$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,115$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 39c | 1,115$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 30c | 1,109$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 25c | 1,109$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.35 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 38c | 1,096$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 62c | 1,094$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 29c | 1,049$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…1391backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 30c | 991.45$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 43c | 990.47$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 62c | 978.76$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.01 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…4e34backed Yes | 31c | 965.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 47c | 937.56$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.71 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 887.04$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.22 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 71c | 866.99$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 31c | 865.12$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 10c | 853.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 62c | 833$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 72c | 794$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 33c | 776.74$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 25c | 771.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…dbffbacked Yes | 40c | 766.05$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 38c | 766$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 42c | 749.85$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed No | 28c | 716.53$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…4c93backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…6796backed Yes | 31c | 709.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…f27dbacked Yes | 27c | 702.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed Yes | 28c | 699.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 34c | 698.93$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.56 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 49c | 698.67$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 61c | 697.72$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…d235backed Yes | 29c | 694.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…838bbacked No | 66c | 680.23$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…a3f1backed Yes | 20c | 679.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 52c | 678$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked Yes | 25c | 673.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 28c | 671.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 662.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 74c | 646.43$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.86 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 66c | 640.01$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 72c | 636.64$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.73 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 32c | 634.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 62c | 618$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes | 2c | 614.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…f3e6backed Yes | 29c | 611.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 72c | 602$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 26c | 594.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes | 38c | 589$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 61c | 588$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 28c | 586$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 60c | 572.38$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 53c | 571$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Yes | 72c | 567.26$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 66cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 28c | 564$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Yes | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 75c | 550.23$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 34c | 545.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 49c | 544$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…186ebacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 40c | 535$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 23c | 534.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 7c | 530.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…95b1backed Yes | 75c | 530.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 67c | 520.34$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 31c | 520$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…d758backed No | 25c | 517.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 56c | 511.01$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Chase Infiniti win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Emily Blunt win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Glenn Close win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jennifer Lopez win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mari Yamamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Odessa A'zion win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Rebecca Ferguson win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.