TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7df6…ac3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,883
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT30748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 307 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.68
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$540.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$20.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.55
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$96
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$549.99
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+48%+$454
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$276.29
Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$8.75
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$21.44
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$155.25
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.8
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$129.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.01
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Showing 25 of 307 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT27047.8%129 W · 141 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 270 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$86.51
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.99
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.33
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$65.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+409.5%+$167.67
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.65
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.85
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67%+$266.74
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+73%+$1,895.19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$60.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,553Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$3,148.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.93
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$253.34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+369.6%+$364.76
Showing 25 of 270 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT26344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 263 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+217.9%+$51.17
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.77
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.19
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.89
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$349.05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$806.05
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,057.3%+$1,045.23
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.09
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+398.4%+$2,208
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.88
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.16
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$2,925.48
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$742
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$310.37
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.51
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$175.3
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.64
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.76
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$35.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Showing 25 of 263 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT14048.6%68 W · 72 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$19.88
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.38
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+437.6%+$122.39
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$75.76
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$254
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$421.07
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+118.9%+$364
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30%+$240.9
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.3
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65.48
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,026.35
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45.3%+$37.4
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$67.52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$36.9
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.11
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$79.22
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT13139.7%52 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.89
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$238.77
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.24
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.1
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$61.88
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$53.12
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$59.31
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$69.6
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$210.92
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$337.9
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$85.05
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+211.1%+$104.66
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.56
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+399.5%+$274.01
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$273.22
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT12022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$99.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$50.78
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winnerbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$335.95
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dynasty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$432.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$720
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.03
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+594.6%+$4,072.52
EWC 2026: LEC G2 VS KC Total Series Wonbacked KC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$36.11
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.84
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,186.73
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.12
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.91
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$655
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.26
LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$522.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$912.6
LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will LYON win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT11154.1%60 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+141%+$585
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$111.15
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$471.65
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kai Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jingnan Xiong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.85
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.94
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$48
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+323.1%+$100.99
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+449.5%+$1,022.49
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$79.3
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$66.8
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7646.1%35 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$307
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.93
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.87
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$128.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$18.4
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will China region win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$23.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.23
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winnerbacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$36.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$254.28
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$54.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.83
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.75
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61%+$67.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$225.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+173%+$127.56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$38.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$39.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$699.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$223.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$53.05
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.08
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+86%+$36.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$464.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,690.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$989.83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$83.68
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$815.57
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108.8
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+256.8%+$217.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+57.8%+$43.21
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$138.53
Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$351
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$47.6
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.6%+$351.48
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.54
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$928.04
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4734%16 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.05
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$40.31
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.47
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$58.27
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+391.4%+$245.07
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$808.55
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.94
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.55
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$135.33
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.09
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.97
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+243.9%+$44.41
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$7.95
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$102.39
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$172.9
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$221.45
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.02
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?backed Proposition 50 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60.85
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$114.58
Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$132.68
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$295.07
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.75
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.03
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Jay-Z attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+70%+$24.7
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$100.81
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$109.91
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$820.34
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$84.48
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$40
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$340
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+307.6%+$609.55
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$67.9
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.76
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$96.3
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.16
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$169.9
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$217.73
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$136.55
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$164.86
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+74.6%+$103.17
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.66
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$642.86
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,568.91
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.22
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$29.06
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,002.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+29.6%+$52.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$102
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$70
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$378.32
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+75.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,269.9%+$185.4
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$45
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.5
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$38
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+36%+$66.2
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.96
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+194.6%+$161.99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.25
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.3
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$7.36
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+144%+$40.72
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$17.25
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.04
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+58.6%+$27.7
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$94.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.4%+$153.21
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+86.3%+$69.5
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$33.99
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+261.4%+$108.5
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.24
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.7
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.84
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.17
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.89
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+102.3%+$515.83
OpenAI browser in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+58.5%+$49.94
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$1,514.78
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.1%+$96.5
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$57.5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.9%+$126.19
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$40.2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$134
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$558
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$166.1
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$375.57
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$184.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$317.41
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+412.8%+$161
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$12
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.26
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.83
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$471
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+207.4%+$461.92
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$102.45
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$58.16
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$13.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.23
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.17
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$37.51
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+266.4%+$225.07
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+276.3%+$51.4
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$941.95
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.04
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$114.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$176.05
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+120.6%+$81.99
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.21
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+83.5%+$45.5
Trevvy vs. Oblivionbacked Oblivion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+101.1%+$40.22
Trevvy KO's Oblivion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$24
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+33.3%+$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,949.92
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$113.65
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$230.83
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+252.9%+$43
Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+39.6%+$20.64
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.43
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$198.13
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,575.01
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$814.38
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+74.9%+$334.72
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33.12
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$494.43
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.37
F1 Dutch GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+250.6%+$696.91
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.11
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$12.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.75
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$173.54
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.5%+$64.29
Will Xi visit the US before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$15
Xi Jinping seen in public by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.84
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.39
China-EU trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
China bans US films in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.6
TikTok banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$19.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$103.68
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$9.4
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$389.99
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$525
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Queens vs. Florida Gulf Coastbacked Queens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+222.6%+$27.63
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn Statebacked Alcorn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$77.47
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+259.3%+$90
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$135.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+231.1%+$158.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65%+$98.5
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.79
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.01
Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.44
Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.8
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-68.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$557.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+32.9%+$39.6
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$5.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+89%+$9.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.