TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91ba…c705

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$561.56
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.94
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$271.36
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.7
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$156.17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$129.6
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$93.24
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$478.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$279.07
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.76
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$184.64
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+733.3%+$119.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$50.15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$152.46
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.91
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100.3%+$20.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$91.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$47.79
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$569.6
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$173.16
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.5
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.4
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.66
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$32.39
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.8
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$59.5
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$107.59
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.36
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.42
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.08
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.19
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.54
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$203.58
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$500.4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$191.52
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.44
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.9
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.68
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.08
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$50.92
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.02
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$51.87
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.75
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$98.4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$132.44
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$185.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$72.52
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 70 and 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.9
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+614.3%+$344
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$249.9
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$53.72
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.26
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+712.1%+$911.93
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$124.2
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.06
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$137.94
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+313.2%+$121.28
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.1%+$25.17
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.6%+$117.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.76
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$160.68
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.48
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$828.16
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$114.61
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39.9%+$96.64
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$377.41
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$19.72
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+69%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$87.75
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+809.1%+$121.93
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+36.8%+$17.22
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.8%+$71.2
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.76
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+107.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+131.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$471.88
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$109.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$82.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$343.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Under 40% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$73.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$97.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$81.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$137.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)backed Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$333.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.