Token Launches · resolved market
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56cdb30f3a8a203fbe6f249de2f7d9c327ebf25632ed95532ede296205c280cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf626…f9f0backed Yes | 7c | 14,872$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.67 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…cf3ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,620$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…c377backed Yes | 25c | 2,956$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,325$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…2ef4backed Yes | 25c | 1,780$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…225bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,696$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 55c | 1,407$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…dbddbacked Yes | 24c | 1,384$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed Yes | 19c | 1,352$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,345$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 51c | 1,299$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 46c | 1,242$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…2866backed Yes | 17c | 1,218$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 55c | 1,209$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 55c | 1,179$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c9…6649backed Yes | 9c | 1,145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3710backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,034$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Yes | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,002$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked Yes | 45c | 954$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 45c | 919$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked No | 54c | 919$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed No | 55c | 904$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 49c | 904$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 26c | 890$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…88adbacked Yes | 46c | 882$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 46c | 881$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed Yes | 45c | 869$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 46c | 864$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 62c | 852$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 54c | 850$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 45c | 837$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 55c | 835$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 46c | 822$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 54c | 809$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Yes | 46c | 801$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 45c | 796$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 46c | 781$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 32c | 772$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 54c | 765$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 55c | 756$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…ae79backed No | 55c | 752$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 55c | 748$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Yes | 24c | 712.49$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 45c | 710$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 45c | 695$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 54c | 694$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 74c | 665$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 45c | 665$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 51c | 654$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 45c | 654$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 55c | 609$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 51c | 608$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 46c | 589$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 45c | 559$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 55c | 554$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 45c | 553$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 54c | 552$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed Yes | 45c | 522$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 54c | 518$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 26c | 518$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 45c | 514$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 45c | 499$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 55c | 498$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed Yes | 45c | 488$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 45c | 487$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 54c | 479$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +241%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…175fbacked Yes | 46c | 478$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1ecebacked Yes | 23c | 475.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Yes | 46c | 468$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed Yes | 45c | 466$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 46c | 462$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 39c | 457.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 55c | 446$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 59c | 445$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 54c | 442$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +181%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed Yes | 46c | 441$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 54c | 428$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 54c | 428$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed No | 54c | 426$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 46c | 426$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed No | 55c | 417$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 46c | 409$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 67c | 408$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 407.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 54c | 403$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 46c | 400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 55c | 397$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 7c | 384.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 80c | 384$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed Yes | 19c | 383$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 74c | 379$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.