TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a6e…88ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Movies, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+46.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.73
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$32.64
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.94
Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$28.98
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.08
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.74
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$17.69
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$32.12
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.15
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+376.2%+$87.29
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.16
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$22.05
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+528.9%+$117.74
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.68
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$115.56
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$267.54
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$192.92
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.74
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$57.96
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$33.35
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.7
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$26
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+350.5%+$65.35
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$145.53
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.84
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.12
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.76
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.66
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.12
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.52
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$28.08
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$36.26
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$198.56
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$132.6
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42.56
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+614.3%+$161.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$389.98
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45.76
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+39.2%+$111.22
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$74.49
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$42.63
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$61.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.2
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.08
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66.78
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.53
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+300%+$89.25
Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee over 40% by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.89
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+106.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$441.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$224.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+57.7%+$23.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$71.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+30.4%+$31.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$86.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Under 40% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$76.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.