World Politics · resolved market
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03fe97122a627acec515c88f3d351ad28e78cda436e158563fe346c1408f66e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $719,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $719,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 703 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 10c | 23,015$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Yes | 4c | 12,829$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 12,225$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.27 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…4f6cbacked Yes | 29c | 9,729$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…1953backed Yes | 6c | 8,445$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…ebb7backed Yes | 37c | 8,217$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…9972backed Yes | 37c | 7,058$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 65c | 5,702$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…dc30backed Yes | 1c | 4,572$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…d8b8backed Yes | 29c | 4,419$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68a…39d7backed No | 63c | 3,905$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b037backed No | 63c | 3,900$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 65c | 3,800$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb958…00a2backed No | 63c | 3,788$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1049…1723backed No | 63c | 3,682$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 30c | 3,264$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…d84bbacked No | 78c | 3,213$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,617$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…8a7cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,466$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,464$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 17c | 2,119$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked No | 58c | 2,100$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,050$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…9a7ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 64c | 1,986$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed Yes | 36c | 1,958$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…d278backed Yes | 5c | 1,904$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 43c | 1,902$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 24c | 1,875$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,814$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 28c | 1,735$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…07f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,707$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 56c | 1,706$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…4d1fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,694$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 37c | 1,661$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 25c | 1,645$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 64c | 1,624$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…5498backed Yes | 1c | 1,608$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…0e19backed Yes | 1c | 1,579$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…1b40backed Yes | 1c | 1,575$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes | 17c | 1,569$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…b677backed Yes | 1c | 1,562$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 35c | 1,554$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…6a1abacked No | 74c | 1,545$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked Yes | 20c | 1,540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 17c | 1,538$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 18c | 1,532$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…9469backed Yes | 23c | 1,499$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 2c | 1,498$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 67c | 1,493$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 70c | 1,473$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,472$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed No | 58c | 1,447$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed No | 77c | 1,439$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 33c | 1,420$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 20c | 1,404$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 19c | 1,403$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…9c0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,380$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 17c | 1,378$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 19c | 1,369$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed No | 62c | 1,346$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 65c | 1,320$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,320$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes | 17c | 1,315$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,311$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +338.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 66c | 1,298$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 41c | 1,285$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 16c | 1,283$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…dc45backed No | 80c | 1,282$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed No | 65c | 1,271$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 22c | 1,267$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked No | 63c | 1,263$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 65c | 1,237$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed No | 69c | 1,232$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 16c | 1,220$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 40c | 1,156$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 12c | 1,131$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 64c | 1,128$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 78c | 1,110$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5a50backed Yes | 7c | 1,109$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 36c | 1,103$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 53c | 1,096$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 35c | 1,091$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 70c | 1,089$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 1,088$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,073$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,061$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 44c | 1,061$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.27 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,051$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,028$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 61c | 1,019$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed No | 74c | 1,018$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 67c | 1,012$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,010$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked No | 53c | 990$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?this page
- Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.