TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6891…1146

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$277.44
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.26
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$74.98
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$255.36
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$80.46
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.36
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.7
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$166.4
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$126.36
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106.75
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.89
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.45
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$209.82
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$122.72
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$211.99
Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+40.8%+$49.59
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.46
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.9
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.94
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$215.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$78.44
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+300%+$369
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+270.4%+$600.79
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.92
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$193.52
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+669.2%+$717.75
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$79.73
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.24
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$128.51
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$555.84
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.29
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$249.12
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$394.56
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+191.4%+$532.72
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.08
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+455.6%+$432.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$158.4
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$120.9
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$127.2
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.81
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$119.73
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$116.48
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$43.66
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.33
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$273.92
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$402.02
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$38.22
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$304.2
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52.65
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+98.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$5.46
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.3%+$41.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$465.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$242.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.5%+$109.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$173.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$451.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$103.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$169.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.