NBA · resolved market
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b60a229c2936d97255223785bc31c3eab752720bd89269d16bb948dbe27c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,701$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 18c | 1,874$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,005$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 18c | 879$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.78 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 22c | 840$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 18c | 809$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 20c | 747.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.2 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 79c | 738$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 78c | 729$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 18c | 717$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Yes | 18c | 714$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 18c | 677$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 80c | 636$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 20c | 607.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.57 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…7a3fbacked Yes | 13c | 583$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes | 32c | 571$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 18c | 543$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 19c | 538$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 18c | 537$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 18c | 527$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 18c | 520$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 18c | 508$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 18c | 476$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 22c | 473$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed Yes | 13c | 449$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 21c | 439$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 76c | 413.86$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 68c | 407$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 18c | 405$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 13c | 375$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 69c | 363$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 63c | 342$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 21c | 314$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 75c | 311.15$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 67c | 308$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…cc36backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yes | 19c | 292.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 18c | 289$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 79c | 276$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 18c | 274$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 21c | 270$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 268.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 13c | 268$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 18c | 262$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 13c | 246$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +158%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 20c | 220$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed No | 80c | 220$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 19c | 212$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 78c | 206$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 31c | 203$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 22c | 184$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed No | 79c | 174$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…7602backed Yes | 22c | 164$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 33c | 155$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed No | 68c | 149$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 21c | 136$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked Yes | 26c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 79c | 122$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 118.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 18c | 107$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 18c | 97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 24c | 95.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 21c | 95.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 94.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 78c | 89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 18c | 82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 18c | 81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…b0c7backed No | 28c | 72.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 80c | 59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 20c | 59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 48.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…6213backed Yes | 78c | 47.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…9ce8backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8f4bbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.