TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e29…d190

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$302.59
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.76
Will Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.01
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.72
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$358.34
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$348.42
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$225.92
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.44
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$286.2
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.3
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.77
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.18
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183.61
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+400%+$176
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+455.6%+$266.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.14
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.24
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.77
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.78
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$523.44
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$102.5
Will "Zootropolis 2" win in the Children's & Family Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$75.95
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$269.37
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.41
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134.65
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.62
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$175.89
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.1
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.8
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$564.92
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.57
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$289.39
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.5
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$301.76
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$260.7
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.24
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$399.74
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$305.2
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$149.76
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$102.48
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$108.92
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.92
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$405
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$248.32
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.5
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.57
Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 10% and 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$496.53
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$97.03
Will 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$198.45
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$127.89
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$179.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.02
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$243.1
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.9%+$243.91
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200.93
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$299.82
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$143.5
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.75
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.25
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$763.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$167.5
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$183.87
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.25
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$189.76
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$198.33
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$64.24
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$160.16
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$104.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+104.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+202.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+614.3%+$349.16
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$164.64
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$180.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$43.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$137.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$147.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$572.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$146.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$224.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.