Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23113e90b800ff9715927c9e361282a5a948eeb145601ca8b1c0ff8f07c05112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 40c | 1,590$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 43c | 1,461$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 64c | 1,421$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 43c | 1,372$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 57c | 1,259$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 57c | 1,248$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 58c | 1,149$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed No | 43c | 1,121$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 61c | 962$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 43c | 917$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 32c | 779$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 57c | 754$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed No | 43c | 744$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 57c | 738$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 57c | 734$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 43c | 733$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 57c | 703$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked No | 43c | 631$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 43c | 620$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 43c | 565$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 558$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed Yes | 57c | 553$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 57c | 541$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked Yes | 58c | 533$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 43c | 510$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 43c | 506$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked No | 43c | 498$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +202%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 54c | 497$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 57c | 484$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 43c | 484$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 57c | 469$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 57c | 461$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 58c | 450$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 57c | 435$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 14c | 389$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 27cpaid | +219.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked No | 42c | 374$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed No | 43c | 362$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 57c | 357$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +58%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed No | 43c | 331$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked Yes | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 74c | 324.1$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes | 57c | 322$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 42c | 318$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked No | 43c | 305$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes | 58c | 293$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 43c | 288$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 43c | 286$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 57c | 279$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed No | 43c | 269$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 47c | 267$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 78c | 260.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 42c | 230$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 57c | 222$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed Yes | 57c | 186$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 57c | 185$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 43c | 181$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 57c | 177$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 12c | 176.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed No | 43c | 168$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 16c | 167.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 49c | 165.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 58c | 164$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 31c | 161.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed No | 42c | 159$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 15c | 150.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed Yes | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed Yes | 57c | 144$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +237.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed Yes | 57c | 129$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 43c | 119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 58c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 43c | 118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked No | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked No | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 68c | 112.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 42c | 112.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked No | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed Yes | 69c | 90.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked Yes | 58c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 57c | 83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 57c | 83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked No | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 57c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked No | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed No | 20c | 73.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 69.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 53c | 57.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed No | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed No | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.