TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2566…7d60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$122.4
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$154.8
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$238.28
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$101.75
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.01
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.91
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$44.64
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.63
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.53
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$360.11
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$136.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$332.28
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$77.76
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$115.7
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$76.16
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$275.38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$327.54
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$816.79
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.92
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.52
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.4
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$413
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$475.96
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+84.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.75
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$214.76
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+426.3%+$353.16
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$326.4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$406.26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$48.45
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$307.44
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$97.17
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37%+$10.26
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$129.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.15
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.09
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.65
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$170.1
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.96
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.42
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$128.44
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$210.6
Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$106.79
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+87.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$701.48
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$39.75
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$241.6
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$178.6
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$113.96
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$96.8
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.43
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick18cpaid+266.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$268
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$188.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$267.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+233.3%+$760.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$435.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+54%+$141.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$51.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$838
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$73.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.