TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed No27c2,501$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.8240133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes73c1,802$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.4322140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No9c1,725$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.168853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No2c1,375$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked No43c1,224$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.654535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…d3e7backed No3c1,174$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes68c1,127$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.641560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b45…836ebacked No33c1,095$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e29…d190backed Yes67c1,053$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.421752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf98e…797fbacked No39c1,036$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd320…81a5backed Yes61c1,034$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…8884backed No32c1,013$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ed…7a3fbacked Yes69c967$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.77850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+61.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a2…3dfcbacked Yes68c906$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214e…3c01backed No26c886.81$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.741216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+73.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8153backed No34c881$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…4eb3backed No4c870.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No38c864$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.234235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked No39c864$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.961850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+66.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ba…ba1dbacked No29c862.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed Yes64c855$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.612564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed No32c852$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.64850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No18c813.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6918536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed No39c811$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.292259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes71c811$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.19825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed Yes61c807$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.731560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed No39c799$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.613240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b72…cd8ebacked No31c792$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.521030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…e7cabacked Yes68c777$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2566…7d60backed Yes68c755$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.61060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+87.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed No36c737$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.323135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed No36c735$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.61540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed No39c725$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.752437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No5c721.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.515010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes61c713$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.072147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c3…a7b6backed Yes74c711$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae4…d837backed No32c702$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed No36c692$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed Yes64c692$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes64c689$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.043339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed No32c683$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bb…4569backed No31c682$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.421225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeac…95c6backed No38c676$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6388…f668backed No32c656$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.921040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes66c647$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.974047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes68c640$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes61c624$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.362948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff5d…4e58backed No31c615$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.651861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes69c601$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No19c578.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed Yes68c573$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed No36c554$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.442030%6 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes61c552$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.282931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked No38c549$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.772035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed No27c545$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.482040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked No37c542$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.393339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed No36c539$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…857abacked Yes71c539$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes64c537$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.323036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6956…dd15backed Yes68c530$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed Yes69c528$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.681741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163a…70a2backed No32c525$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed No29c520$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed No32c519$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed Yes62c515$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.73151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc18…cb94backed Yes69c515$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes65c506$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.441926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-61.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No31c499.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.995145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed No4c495.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.934520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked No39c489$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.711952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes61c483$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.373250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed No31c472$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.321741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No3c470.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1339864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed No38c470$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.252850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Yes63c469$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.533256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes61c466$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.061,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes61c464$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.962564%16 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c8e…9be8backed Yes69c447$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes65c444$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.513243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47eb…8195backed No32c443$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes61c432$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.483043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed Yes67c429.03$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.581241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes61c405$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.952356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed No39c389$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.712152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb6…6d5fbacked No31c369$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.391747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes69c369$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.391533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No27c363$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.013240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128e…001dbacked Yes67c362$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.041353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked No29c360$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.41275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd008…e9dbbacked No32c356$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.921060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x981e…d368backed Yes68c355$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No4c354.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8119434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes68c348$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1587…901abacked No34c346$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes64c342$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.121353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked No32c341$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.121040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda7f…c93dbacked No32c331$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.922147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad04…dce5backed No31c326$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.061040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No31c325$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.751741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.