TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82aa…2393

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
246
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.96
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.8
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.72
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$788.9
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.63
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.34
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.87
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$226.8
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$264.92
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$471.01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$36.72
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$370.18
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$337.28
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$110
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$265.32
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$125.56
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$357.21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$189.72
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.69
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$130.65
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.08
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.99
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.61
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$221.61
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.2
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124.93
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$121.37
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$105.25
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$173.85
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$172.12
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.5
Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.12
Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42.21
Will Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Producer of a TV Movie at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47.47
Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25.3%+$126.25
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$286.23
Will Adolescence win Best New Scripted Series at the 41st Film Independent Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$134.08
Will between 9 and 12 participants make a final pair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$131.56
Will Spike Jonze win Best Director of Commercials at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$268.38
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.76
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.52
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.3%+$148.67
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$549.27
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.02
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.76
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$144.48
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.82
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174.58
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.92
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.35
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$291.83
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.28
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.3
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.25
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$140.4
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.11
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.48
Will "Israel" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$124.08
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$123.64
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$50.7
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$262.86
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.18
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161.12
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$177.3
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$92.72
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$301.66
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$196.37
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.08
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.7
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.49
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.25
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$66.08
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.85
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+369.5%+$527.29
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$153.78
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$67.15
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$73.71
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$313.92
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$350.24
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$64.98
Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$112.06
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$719.38
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$153.24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$334.9
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$894.45
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$116.1
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$79.04
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$530.26
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+809.1%+$378.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$61.56
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.98
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$546
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+669.2%+$289.71
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88.35
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161.46
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.25
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.32
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$121.21
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.83
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$361.94
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$170.81
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.29
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$85.77
Will Starmer say "Tory" or "Tories" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.4
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$46.5
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$368.52
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$386.24
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$94.57
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.74
Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee over 40% by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$123.2
Will Kast win by at least 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.28
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$141.45
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$34.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.79
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$203.13
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$229.9
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$392.7
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$54.74
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$122.36
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$17.52
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$145.86
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$202.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+132%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$758.79
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.8
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$192.27
Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.16
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $800M and $900M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+111.2%+$699.25
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+525%+$276.36
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$337.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$147.77
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.07
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.72
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$180.01
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$233.24
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$423.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+176.2%+$125.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$344.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.