Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f71c1bbbec47f1d992fb2fc5262dbc4750428eb8338d649b2b98441fcb2b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 7,793$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.16 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes | 25c | 5,216$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.97 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 2,073$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 27c | 1,820$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 1,705$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.48 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 74c | 1,375$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,336$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,293$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.61 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 27c | 1,195$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed Yes | 16c | 1,159$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 25c | 1,157$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.54 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 73c | 1,131$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 26c | 1,115$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 1,084$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,031$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 74c | 1,010$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed No | 74c | 997$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…4fedbacked Yes | 28c | 985.71$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 24c | 960$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes | 16c | 959$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 74c | 842.57$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed Yes | 16c | 808$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 24c | 777.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed Yes | 27c | 753$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 75c | 751$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 16c | 736$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 26c | 708$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 78c | 705$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +214.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 17c | 686$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked Yes | 16c | 683$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 17c | 658$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 13c | 630$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked No | 75c | 614$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 77c | 609$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 13c | 595$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 21c | 593$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 25c | 583$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 75c | 583$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…af9dbacked Yes | 26c | 579.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 22c | 574$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 568$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.74 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 27c | 565$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 79c | 555$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 25c | 538$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 15c | 532$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 24c | 529.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 16c | 525$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 515$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 499.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 14c | 492$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked Yes | 22c | 492$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 483$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 73c | 479.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 21c | 473$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 463.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked Yes | 22c | 452$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 78c | 444$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…109cbacked No | 73c | 441$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 23c | 438$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 13c | 432$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 77c | 416$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 16c | 399$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 77c | 397$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 23c | 397$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed No | 73c | 394.18$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed No | 79c | 391$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 16c | 367$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 24c | 366.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 77c | 366$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…8df1backed Yes | 23c | 366$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked No | 78c | 354$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 351$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed Yes | 22c | 337$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…8832backed Yes | 11c | 336.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 22c | 328$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked No | 79c | 328$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 321.06$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 17c | 314$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 25c | 311$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 25c | 303$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 303$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…6c92backed Yes | 21c | 301$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 26c | 299.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…a2debacked No | 79c | 299$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 17c | 296$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…b42cbacked No | 78c | 292$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked No | 13c | 286.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed No | 73c | 274.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 16c | 267$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 22c | 260$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.