TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05f2…95de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+100.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.3
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.68
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,099.68
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.88
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.96
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$326.43
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.36
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$923.4
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$262.89
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$65.36
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$332.25
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,152.8
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$67.68
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$88.74
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58.63
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$491
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$199.26
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.41
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$372.08
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$117.52
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114.7
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$25.22
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$201.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$213.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$355.2
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$431.29
Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$193.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$676.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$152.49
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.73
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.94
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+334.8%+$763.07
Will there be 9-11 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$19.25
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$214.5
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$312.12
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$118.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+114.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+90%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$155.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$277.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$217.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$91.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.