Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x422cf80aeefc2804a7f37d8c2f95dcd109b6a024f8d5c7094afa63439ba708ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 55c | 5,442$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.89 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,813$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 52c | 1,273$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.27 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 11c | 1,228$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 23c | 1,190$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 32c | 943$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 57c | 910$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 49c | 857$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed Yes | 40c | 794$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 68c | 703$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 51c | 701$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…e5e6backed No | 2c | 663.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked No | 43c | 661$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 40c | 628$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +298.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 60c | 586$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed Yes | 61c | 554$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 50c | 528$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked Yes | 49c | 509$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked No | 51c | 509$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed No | 53c | 469$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 47c | 469$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 50c | 447$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 40c | 412$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed No | 51c | 401$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 39c | 382$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 61c | 382$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 14c | 379.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 6c | 374$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 14c | 353.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed No | 39c | 329$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 32c | 311$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 9c | 298.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 22c | 286.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Yes | 72c | 279.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Yes | 80c | 250.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…9579backed No | 49c | 250.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…875ebacked Yes | 51c | 250.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…a065backed No | 43c | 249$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 6c | 235.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 64c | 229$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 10c | 228.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed No | 39c | 225$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 68c | 223$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 48c | 218$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 51c | 199.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 191$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 45c | 185.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 11c | 183.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 40c | 182$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes | 49c | 174$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 64c | 143.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 74c | 134.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 14c | 112.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Yes | 68c | 110.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 104.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 70c | 100.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 92.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 86.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 49c | 85.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…39f0backed Yes | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…376dbacked Yes | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes | 71c | 70.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 31c | 69.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…a460backed Yes | 46c | 65.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes | 69c | 59.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 51c | 56.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 69c | 52.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked No | 40c | 48.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 59c | 39.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378b…caffbacked Yes | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Yes | 70c | 35.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…7818backed Yes | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…ab48backed Yes | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 71c | 22.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…54dabacked Yes | 44c | 22.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…58c7backed Yes | 71c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f72backed No | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…14d1backed Yes | 59c | 18.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…caf4backed Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?this page
- Will Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?No won
- Will James Barbee be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?No won
- Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.