TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbcc1…d40b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$53.4
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$277.4
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.4
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.36
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.98
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.16
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$146.52
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47.04
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.1
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$483
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$141.3
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$75.87
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$128.96
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$132.87
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$47.61
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$324.48
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$84.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.84
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$79.25
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$103
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.8
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$485.46
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$365.04
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$367.68
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+669.2%+$804.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$382.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$233.13
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$93.61
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.82
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$24.48
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$455.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$193.6
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$268.55
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$356.24
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$41.25
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$236.67
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$367.19
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$72.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.2
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$44.55
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$75.98
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.14
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.93
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$439.69
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$81.4
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$88.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+84.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$188.19
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.45
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$643.25
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$350.33
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$106.8
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$469.35
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$226.1
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+438.3%+$685.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+189.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick32cpaid+231.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$528.86
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$356.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.61
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+222.6%+$216.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$372.38
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$116.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$78.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$84.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Stefanski be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$167.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$151.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$492.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$135.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.