Movies · resolved market
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a70b8e7bae2428c602f2bf70aab049e142dc13023348449d1ae1f618637ea30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 39c | 3,534$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.93 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 28c | 1,379$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 40c | 1,321$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.58 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,180$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.28 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.16 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 50c | 1,046$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.71 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 57c | 892.39$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.15 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked No | 60c | 789$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 51c | 587.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.27 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked Yes | 62c | 529.1$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 33c | 521$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 515.06$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 39c | 481.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.43 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 50c | 458.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 49c | 441.81$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.52 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 10c | 348.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 68c | 339.06$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 50c | 311$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…0467backed No | 65c | 297.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 67c | 291$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 39c | 288$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 45c | 287$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…4e11backed Yes | 24c | 284.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 283.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 19c | 273.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 22c | 270$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 62c | 266.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 61c | 265$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 60c | 251.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 14c | 243$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Yes | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 67c | 213$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 64c | 205.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 34c | 204.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed No | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 47c | 192.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…2d99backed Yes | 44c | 190.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 55c | 187$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…e9ecbacked Yes | 46c | 179.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed No | 32c | 176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 33c | 174$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 15c | 169.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 36c | 159.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f2…5a03backed No | 59c | 158$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 58c | 157.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 68c | 142$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 68c | 136$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 38c | 135.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 33c | 133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 21c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 78c | 110$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 76c | 105.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b84…5061backed No | 70c | 105$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 14c | 95.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 52c | 94.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 67c | 92.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 78c | 86.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…dfc2backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 60.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e564backed No | 74c | 59.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 72c | 59.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…2e36backed Yes | 47c | 52.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 51.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 40c | 51.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…8fecbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…c686backed Yes | 52c | 49.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Yes | 28c | 46.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 47c | 43.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018f…4407backed No | 60c | 42.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…c90bbacked No | 55c | 42.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -14.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 51c | 39.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…05ccbacked No | 56c | 39.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…eaefbacked Yes | 42c | 34.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…e47ebacked Yes | 41c | 33.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…bb6fbacked No | 37c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…6b8fbacked Yes | 47c | 29.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…7e03backed No | 60c | 27.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…858abacked Yes | 42c | 26.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…99adbacked Yes | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…6817backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…d7bcbacked No | 60c | 25.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…7283backed No | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?this page
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 109m?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 85m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.