TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x497b…aba5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
328
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 65 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT9545.3%43 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,174.43
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,345.2
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$385.31
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,339.27
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$765
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,310.76
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$300.1
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+95.4%+$5,428.1
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,377.43
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,964.8
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+56.2%+$479.59
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,927Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.6%+$1,282.65
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+36.4%+$178.84
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+118.1%+$589.88
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$673.62
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$125.78
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+150%+$812.27
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$919.35
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.4%+$97.74
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$3,589.7
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,830.8
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$269.23
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+121.6%+$2,579.42
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$769.15
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Wicked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$259.15
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST5971.2%42 W · 17 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$297.86
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.2%+$121.64
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$113.89
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$115.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$401.76
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$103.69
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+131.3%+$309.21
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$80.36
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+154.1%+$578.96
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$124
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+177.8%+$266.66
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.1%+$235.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+154.4%+$980.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$272.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,169.91
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+138.1%+$229.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$214.46
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+84.6%+$30.31
Will Solana dip to $160 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,982Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,066.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.91
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$55
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+124.9%+$516.5
Will Solana dip to $200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$126
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+155.2%+$163.36
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST4250%21 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$192.86
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+226.7%+$253.8
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$700.66
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$47.63
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200.31
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,793.78
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+188.3%+$1,318
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$677.51
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+117.9%+$351.22
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+163.5%+$916.32
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$596.17
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$265.82
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+83.4%+$1,096.3
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,399.96
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+223%+$1,336.28
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+27.4%+$54.47
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$374.91
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,551Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$951.37
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$69.06
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+158.4%+$912.61
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+150%+$450
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$711.09
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST3935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+54.1%+$135
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$239.93
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+258.6%+$257.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+48%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+151.7%+$17.12
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.93
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.53
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+473.4%+$95.67
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.65
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+228.1%+$39.35
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.45
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$998.96
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.58
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$580.61
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.22
Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.1
Will Elon tweet 360–389 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.14
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$678.82
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$358.34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$785.39
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$278.8
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+300%+$599.99
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.87
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$204.23
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+74.6%+$1,131.79
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37.7%+$1,044.7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+60%+$60
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,361.71
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$24
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+95.9%+$15.31
Will xAI have the second best AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.82
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$99.99
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$400.78
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$649.99
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.05
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$214.28
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.4
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$291.73
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.3
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.94
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$140
Angels vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$29.52
Orioles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.12
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$12.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Nebraskabacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.18
Syracuse vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.62
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+301.9%+$237.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$166.67
Will Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+70.6%+$353.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$262.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.