MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480c1b3c07c93c71d830eeabcd99c625a2f51daa2c992ca5370f8be0aa5fe699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Orioles, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Orioles | 43c | 69,136$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 57c | 31,045$17,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,369.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 56c | 17,327$9,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,623.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 57c | 6,032$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.59 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Giants | 56c | 5,125$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Giants | 66c | 4,937$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.18 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Giants | 57c | 3,300$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 58c | 2,987$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.54 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 57c | 2,935$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants | 58c | 2,351$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.52 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants | 56c | 2,156$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.75 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Orioles | 47c | 2,114$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Orioles | 48c | 2,094$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 68c | 2,091$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.39 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Orioles | 33c | 1,340$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.12 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 54c | 1,339$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.84 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 52c | 1,288$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 44c | 1,122$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.68 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Giants | 57c | 884.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.13 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 44c | 850$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Giants | 71c | 842.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 39c | 666.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Giants | 57c | 578$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 44c | 577$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 43c | 561.55$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 53c | 532.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Orioles | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 44c | 489.8$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 22c | 455.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 55c | 452$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Giants | 57c | 447.44$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 53c | 396.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 32c | 381.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Giants | 55c | 361.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 44c | 349.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Giants | 59c | 328.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 59c | 328.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 44c | 318$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 46c | 230.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…d433backed Orioles | 42c | 214.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 52c | 211.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Giants | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…1744backed Orioles | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Orioles | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Giants | 72c | 180$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giants | 56c | 179.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c8…8fbabacked Orioles | 42c | 176.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c42backed Orioles | 42c | 173.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 57c | 173$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…ba32backed Giants | 58c | 144.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 42c | 143.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…8ff7backed Giants | 58c | 139.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…810fbacked Giants | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Orioles | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 55c | 129.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…d038backed Giants | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Orioles | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…ffa9backed Orioles | 35c | 110.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…1271backed Giants | 58c | 106.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…4ae2backed Giants | 58c | 103.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Orioles | 43c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Giants | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Giants | 58c | 86.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 30c | 78.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Giants | 71c | 76.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Orioles | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Orioles | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 63c | 66.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Giants | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Orioles | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Orioles | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 42c | 49.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Orioles | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 30c | 47.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 55c | 45.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Giants | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Giants | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Giants | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Orioles | 42c | 31.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Orioles | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Orioles | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Orioles | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. Giantsthis page
- Orioles vs. Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.