TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6752…fafb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5653.6%30 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34.55
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+42.5%+$119.25
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Cost of living" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.56
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+39.6%+$63.21
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Socialism" or "Socialist" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$11.62
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$264.86
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$241.82
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+122.1%+$492.39
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.09
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+118.3%+$84.03
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$49.81
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$141.3
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.66
Will Trump say "Tomahawk" or "Patriot" during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+103.6%+$81.41
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$64.6
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$61.54
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32.66
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+163.2%+$94.69
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Trump say "Trump" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28.51
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+50.2%+$66.93
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$139.74
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$80.52
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$86.58
Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+167%+$30.12
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+481.4%+$82.8
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+141%+$64.46
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.66
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+486.4%+$82.8
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+133.1%+$98.19
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$258.57
Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+119%+$92.31
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.11
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$307.18
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+488.2%+$83
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.08
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$47.25
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$47.3
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Orioles vs. Giantsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Cubs vs. Rockiesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$22.4
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Yankees vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Orioles vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Braves vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.25
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+436.7%+$308.27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+619.4%+$123.98
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$33.23
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.4
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.86
Will Trump say "Laggard" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+147%+$18.9
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$115.25
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$185.46
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+203%+$83.08
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.49
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$27.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 10+ times during the FED board meeting on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+191.3%+$98.5
Will anyone say "Macroeconomic" during the FED board meeting on October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$37.5
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.48
Will Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$38.38
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$132.66
Will Powell say "Parents" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$83.33
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will Jerome Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 34% and 36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$72.56
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Liberal Party (V) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will the Patient Focus (PF) win a seat in Norwegian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+203%+$53.6
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+134.7%+$28.7
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump congratulate Canada election winner by Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$39
Emmett vs. Zalalbacked Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 5 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+159.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+180.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+180.8%+$73.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+167.6%+$16.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+47.7%+$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.