Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f42bffb0bc25b7d36deacb30e6a193107fe2af48f23bcfab0ce7078650b88e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43b7…609ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,041$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 36c | 738.09$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 37c | 533.51$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 40c | 496.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…0b9bbacked No | 65c | 489.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked No | 61c | 488.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 64c | 418.79$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 64c | 394.08$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 39c | 360.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 37c | 354.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 61c | 278.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 34c | 260.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 39c | 255.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.44per pick | 51cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 42c | 249.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 43c | 231.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…0234backed No | 61c | 224.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 38c | 222$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 63c | 206$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 12c | 201.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 43c | 200.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 55c | 169.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…9f1dbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 31cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked No | 64c | 158.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 63c | 157.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 60c | 148.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 41c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 61c | 142$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 36c | 136.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 42c | 127.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…9ec0backed Yes | 45c | 122.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 61c | 119.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed No | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 52c | 100.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…f158backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +578.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…f34fbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…3079backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 65c | 98.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed Yes | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…87b9backed No | 56c | 89.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…4a2bbacked Yes | 57c | 88.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed No | 58c | 85.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 64c | 85.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…e5c9backed No | 59c | 84.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 83.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…324abacked Yes | 41c | 81.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 63c | 79.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 41c | 73.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…34aabacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 40c | 61.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 59c | 60.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Yes | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…9cc3backed Yes | 46c | 53.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…2c6abacked Yes | 48c | 52.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef0…a35abacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…2225backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…ef7fbacked Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…d27fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…abd4backed Yes | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9396…5916backed Yes | 43c | 48.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0a…9034backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 47.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 49c | 41.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…a349backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…776ebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…e4eabacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed Yes | 39c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…91c0backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…1464backed No | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 45c | 35.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…2841backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…dddebacked No | 58c | 34.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f6…4498backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…3b86backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.