Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08297954f76a2040c8a097b082fe155b20279ee7b2c2775e4d6b62218a34c7ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,073$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 15c | 997.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.59 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…8664backed No | 74c | 796.12$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…0234backed No | 28c | 716.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 14c | 699.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.97 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Yes | 3c | 666.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 37c | 638.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.11 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 605.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…1dfebacked Yes | 3c | 514.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 20c | 498.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 17c | 494.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.15 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 77c | 451.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…ff10backed No | 22c | 435.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 68c | 419.82$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 11c | 408.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.33 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…dc46backed Yes | 67c | 399.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 18c | 399.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.07 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…1b97backed No | 27c | 374.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 14c | 329.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 43c | 319.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 79c | 314.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Yes | 10c | 311.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 5c | 300.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…da73backed No | 17c | 289.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +491.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 12c | 280$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 78c | 279$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 17c | 259.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 60c | 252.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 76c | 250$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 75c | 239.05$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 60c | 233.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…bd1dbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.59per pick | 21cpaid | +302.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8a…5af6backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 28c | 190.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…c7bebacked No | 55c | 181.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked No | 40c | 179.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed No | 23c | 176.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…f148backed Yes | 74c | 174.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 30c | 151.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 69c | 141.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8603…0bbabacked Yes | 70c | 137.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed No | 15c | 137.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed No | 70c | 134.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 15c | 126.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.44per pick | 51cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…139dbacked Yes | 26c | 119.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 45c | 114.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 64c | 113.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 23c | 109.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0bc3backed No | 76c | 108$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 80c | 107.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 78c | 107$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…b394backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +226.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…5797backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f6…2f7ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…e3f7backed No | 51c | 99.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 17c | 88.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…126bbacked No | 19c | 88.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +183.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 74c | 86.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…f517backed Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 17c | 70.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…847ebacked No | 15c | 65.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +555%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked No | 25c | 60.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed No | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…7183backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…fcdcbacked No | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…537ebacked No | 50c | 40.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 78c | 38.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 62c | 36.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed Yes | 68c | 34.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…a01cbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…6f28backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…d3d5backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked No | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed No | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…4201backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…6aaebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…a87abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…8f86backed Yes | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…afebbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf50…4397backed Yes | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…adffbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…bc00backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.