TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf00…76f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
279
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 63 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4975.5%37 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.67
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$11.23
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$7.45
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$21.08
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+45.5%+$9.1
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3871.1%27 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$14.84
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$20.72
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Starmer say "Ban" during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will King Charles say "Trump" during State Opening?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.26
Will Starmer say "Kanye" or "West" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.65
Will Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Starmer say "Abuse" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.61
Will Starmer say "Iran" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$20.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+65%+$26.02
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.58
Will Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Trump say "Rwanda" or "Congo" 12+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+213.7%+$21.8
Will Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.3
Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.16
Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+55.4%+$16.63
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.02
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.6%+$18.52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+108.5%+$21.69
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+47.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.46
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+150%+$18
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+76.9%+$15.38
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+39.1%+$22.5
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.4%+$22.48
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$10.6
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.12
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$9.81
Will Melania say "Predator" during statement on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Melania say "Danger" or "Dangerous" during statement on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Melania say "Congress" during statement on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29%+$8.71
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$5.19
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.9%+$13.46
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.64
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10.36
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+106%+$19.08
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+122.9%+$55.34
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick57cpaid+56.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.5%+$19.29
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$21.27
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+123%+$20.91
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+70%+$20.39
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.97
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Barcelona vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Panathinaikos vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Partizan vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.25
Fenerbahce vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump say "ISIS" or "Hezbollah" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.27
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.75
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$11.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+91%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$37.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.8%+$6.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.