Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c1140f45d90b8ad909b1ae837ea6fe0647a291f8ba8a0aae37df361a0f4bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,580 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 5,439$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 3,664$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.84 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed7…9839backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 3,035$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 2,032$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.06 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 19c | 1,708$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.59 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 1,358$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.52 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Panathinaikos | 67c | 1,275$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 1,243$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…ea58backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 529.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 504.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…a7cdbacked Panathinaikos | 75c | 480.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…dda7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 465.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 413$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 31c | 358.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada7…8dbcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 33c | 344.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Panathinaikos | 69c | 307.68$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 281.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 21c | 259.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 21c | 249.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Panathinaikos | 64c | 219.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 202.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 195$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 180.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 169$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 169$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 167.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148d…f106backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 165.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 19c | 151.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 149.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 144.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7697…eaa2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 140.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 129.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 121.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 118.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 116.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 109.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 16c | 103.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 15c | 92.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 88.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 86.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 85.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 14c | 85.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…a340backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 18c | 72.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…6346backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 63.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 61.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 60.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 60.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…8475backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 60.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…26d7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 58.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 54.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 51.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Panathinaikos | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…1059backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…bb21backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 39.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Panathinaikos | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Panathinaikos | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Panathinaikos | 63c | 15.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.