TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe24e…bf04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.64
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.66
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.95
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.04
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Monacobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
BC Dubai vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$14.48
Panathinaikos vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.02
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$47.63
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.