TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c7,448$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.641,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c3,160$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.6724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c6…1b67backed Under46c3,025$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over68c2,403$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.12450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c1,930$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c1,728$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.561,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over65c1,557$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1970%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over66c1,174$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.211172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over45c1,120$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under35c1,036$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under45c1,001$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.62650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+139.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under16c995.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under47c941.87$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.842240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c752.89$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.488654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over63c726.49$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.921855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over45c580.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.113138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over51c562.32$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.542832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352564%16 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over77c417$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.91666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over60c390.4$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over67c365.21$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c289.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over56c263.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.132548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c245.85$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over55c235.24$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.751369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over65c225.92$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over66c224.14$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.221656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over71c215.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.361080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c190$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Under53c185.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.221560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over55c177.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over60c165.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.376762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over54c162.07$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.55955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over62c160.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.093060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Under31c152.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.942846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9814544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c131.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over58c124.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over56c121.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.55875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under17c118$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0622927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Under43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over62c99.89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9622340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under34c99.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.072937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over50c94.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over68c93.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cd4…c292backed Over66c88.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2a…4be1backed Over50c83.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over80c81.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.374170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over73c74.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Under52c64.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0811044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb277…c7eebacked Under51c62.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+117.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over68c50.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.124060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over71c49.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.455440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over42c45.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd824…0dbabacked Over56c42.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over63c38.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.362138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…c36ebacked Over80c37.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over56c37.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+203%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over55c36.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad5a…e224backed Over66c36.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under43c35.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.058058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under43c35.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.055463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over71c32.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…bf04backed Over65c31.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over57c30.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over61c30.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under36c29.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under36c29.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd219…b244backed Over66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over56c27.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.16955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda65…0f34backed Under46c26.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c25.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.062669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed Over66c22.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x582a…a781backed Over73c20.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83644.4%16 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under55c19.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d84…7b78backed Over79c17.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.623100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.