TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68e7…0169

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT13452.2%70 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$39.45
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$56.03
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$51.76
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108%+$33.58
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92%+$23.45
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$16.77
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$18.17
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$13.09
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.67
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$3.98
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$40.75
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$44.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$41.79
Panathinaikos vs. Monacobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
Haiti vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$221.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hazem SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$9.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$6.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.