TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics49c95,817$46,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,762.1172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks50c83,004$41,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,127.1760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics50c35,766$17,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,836.321,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Knicks53c31,412$16,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,763.867650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks52c16,072$8,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,771.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics48c15,846$7,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,664.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics47c13,037$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,127.21,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics48c12,117$5,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,860.481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics48c11,036$5,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,297.391,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…4ad4backed Knicks53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks52c9,748$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,697.320352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Knicks51c9,548$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.2317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Celtics50c8,360$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Knicks54c7,677$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.9212056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks51c7,611$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.141,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Knicks52c6,754$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.855655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Knicks53c6,288$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.153948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics47c5,534$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.171,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Celtics68c5,342$3,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.55350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Celtics48c5,339$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.3890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics52c5,332$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics50c4,590$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.116841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks47c4,295$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.421,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Knicks52c4,243$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.610239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Celtics49c4,080$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.2929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks51c4,027$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.5427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Knicks52c3,944$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.491,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Knicks50c3,921$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.813563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics48c3,897$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.5358740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Celtics53c3,667$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.615850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks49c3,205$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.5370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Knicks48c3,063$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.8214940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Knicks52c2,882$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.2919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Celtics53c2,694$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.5920843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Knicks48c2,153$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.5130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Knicks53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Celtics51c1,733$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.6941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Celtics47c1,581$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.149845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Knicks52c1,567$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.1436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Celtics51c1,518$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.5734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Celtics51c1,395$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.7871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391b…a066backed Knicks53c1,294$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.681526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Celtics44c1,263$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Celtics46c1,246$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Knicks52c1,174$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3517850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Knicks51c1,142$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.451,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics49c1,132$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Celtics46c1,112$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.8259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Knicks39c1,065$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.2252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Celtics48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Knicks49c1,003$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Celtics47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Celtics49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks52c995.96$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Celtics50c995.22$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6110252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Knicks50c981.97$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9825155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Celtics48c959.68$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.8621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks51c946.76$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Celtics40c854.57$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.6268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks39c837.8$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics57c814.46$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Knicks48c807.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8113441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Knicks51c779.56$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3330453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Celtics53c739.57$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6142352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Knicks48c731.93$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.3478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Knicks50c713.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2714845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics49c712.84$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Celtics48c709.5$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.125427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe164…60b9backed Celtics47c679.8$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.512934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks50c671.26$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.21,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Celtics49c601.24$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8551647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Knicks48c588.14$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8325550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Knicks51c585.29$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Knicks48c584.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Knicks54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.56647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks53c538.08$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed Celtics55c529.27$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.957250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks75c529.1$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Celtics49c521.54$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5543052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Knicks50c516.52$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Celtics52c515.45$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Celtics42c504.16$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8331345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Celtics36c483.85$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8741449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Celtics16c480.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Celtics47c469.16$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks53c456.02$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.241,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Celtics48c444.28$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1410745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks46c438.45$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.112,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Celtics47c422.05$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4911833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Knicks50c418$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Knicks48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Celtics37c399.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.999338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Celtics50c395.52$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0323650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks40c393.36$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.021,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Celtics51c387.46$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.