TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbedb…3b26backed Over49c19,837$9,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,116.9616346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under51c10,844$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,530.25947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over42c9,719$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,637.2954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c7,447$4,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,144.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…68dbbacked Over49c5,875$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.38333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over50c5,229$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.4414338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c4,058$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Under54c3,180$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.013948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under53c3,104$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.3512646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over49c3,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.81936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c25…8824backed Under51c2,465$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Over50c2,300$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c2,240$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Over50c2,225$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.415547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c1,972$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.351,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.982,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c1,686$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,384$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c1,342$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.221,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over49c1,339$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.158652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Over50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.522041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Under58c1,065$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.968248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Over50c1,053$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.971457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c1,050$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5309845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4857236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over47c917.74$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.48350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over43c894.94$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.1124151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under58c884.48$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c796.95$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.771,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c744.66$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.515,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Over51c728.45$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.941040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under50c725.17$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5910252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over47c700$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3685650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under49c693.12$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c684.73$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under52c656.6$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under52c655.57$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.914753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under50c604.31$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1641753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under59c566.57$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9219745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under53c561.2$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c544.09$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under52c541.66$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6620352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c537.18$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.911,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c536.66$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c536.66$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c536.66$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under53c536.66$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under58c506.9$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29426553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under51c468.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c461.05$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under52c461.05$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7613153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under51c406.95$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3911648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21668944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19414640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x391b…a066backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Over51c367.81$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.234544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Under54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.481681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over48c308.2$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b4…44d0backed Over42c299.58$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.111172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c296.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9719…b7c9backed Over46c293.18$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over47c290.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9428852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0755…8977backed Under56c290.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6975…db4abacked Under49c286.94$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6c…4415backed Over52c286.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e90…91eabacked Over52c286.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd181…a5b8backed Under49c285.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c270.76$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.531,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8a26backed Over46c256.41$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under58c252.78$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6116048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over44c237.3$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8129345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8115055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0221950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1599…7a1cbacked Over52c219.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe557…f5e2backed Under49c215.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5918643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under58c204.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4693145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c198.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under51c195.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7312752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under58c192.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0644347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0623650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c186.47$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.911,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over39c186.29$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.646046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under58c180.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under52c179.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.242638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over45c176.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c172.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under50c169.3$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.