TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6b0…fdbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.9
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.7
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.39
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$970.23
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.01
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.16
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$780
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.5
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$1,139.8
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.77
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.3
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$663
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$338
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,307.61
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$456
Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$910
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645.94
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.91
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+523.8%+$139.64
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.02
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$728
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$261.01
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.21
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$200.98
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,338.49
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$546
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$1,373
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.33
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$832
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,240
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$345
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.