NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea3585ae9e9b1c7240c4ed6a81687b6fa11f9b4bfc1116c590333f27f5108f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Sharks, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 60c | 267,406$161,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,912.82 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sharks | 39c | 108,372$42,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,265.07 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 40c | 97,180$38,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,871.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Sharks | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 60c | 17,500$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…35bbbacked Sharks | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Sharks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Sharks | 32c | 7,964$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sharks | 40c | 7,395$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.62 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sharks | 40c | 7,387$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.54 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 77c | 7,375$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.02 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Sharks | 0c | 7,281$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sharks | 40c | 6,928$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.04 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sharks | 40c | 6,921$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.95 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Ducks | 61c | 5,500$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Sharks | 7c | 5,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.93 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Sharks | 15c | 4,167$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sharks | 39c | 3,817$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.84 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Sharks | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Ducks | 60c | 3,546$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.4 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Sharks | 40c | 3,347$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sharks | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Sharks | 40c | 3,019$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.69 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Ducks | 60c | 3,014$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.54 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sharks | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 5c | 2,998$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Ducks | 60c | 2,917$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sharks | 41c | 2,790$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks | 40c | 2,655$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.97 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 61c | 2,559$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.41 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Ducks | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sharks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 21c | 2,325$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.46 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ducks | 60c | 1,849$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.6 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Sharks | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 41c | 1,772$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.91 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Ducks | 63c | 1,682$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.06 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 13c | 1,392$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks | 60c | 1,305$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.19 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Sharks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Sharks | 40c | 1,217$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.63 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Sharks | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Sharks | 2c | 1,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,018$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,015$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Sharks | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sharks | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 1c | 970$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Sharks | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Sharks | 40c | 870.87$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 27c | 860$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Sharks | 17c | 780$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ducks | 60c | 768.94$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 60c | 734.47$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Ducks | 61c | 715.93$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sharks | 18c | 706$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sharks | 40c | 678.36$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Sharks | 40c | 649.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks | 25c | 607.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 14c | 602.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Sharks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Sharks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Ducks | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Sharks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…b7bcbacked Sharks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Ducks | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Sharks | 41c | 488.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Ducks | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sharks | 29c | 441.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ducks | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Ducks | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sharks | 37c | 406.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 15c | 387.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Sharks | 41c | 353.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Ducks | 60c | 320.21$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sharks | 40c | 312.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sharks | 6c | 287.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Ducks | 60c | 283.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Sharks | 13c | 281.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 78c | 274.22$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Ducks | 71c | 245$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Sharks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Sharks | 15c | 233$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Sharks | 40c | 232.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Ducks | 79c | 231.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Ducks | 61c | 230.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Sharks | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Ducks | 60c | 207.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ducks | 60c | 206.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Sharks | 40c | 203$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Sharks | 40c | 202.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sharks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Ducks | 79c | 198.73$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Sharks | 40c | 197.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Ducks | 60c | 180.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Ducksthis page
- Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.