TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe975…9d22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
591
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT33154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 331 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$38.59
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$19.08
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$14.55
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.75
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.88
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+618.1%+$121.77
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+253.8%+$30.53
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$11.62
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$88.34
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.86
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$11.48
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$206.88
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$46.74
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.55
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$5.92
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.61
Showing 25 of 331 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT18055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$267
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.9
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$162.34
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.45
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.93
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$181.73
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.47
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.12
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.69
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$91.01
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$234.84
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.88
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$158.16
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$295.7
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$140.85
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$255.28
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$178.63
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$381
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$88.07
Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-3.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$117.3
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+102.1%+$182.23
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72.1%+$8.61
Spread: Murray State Racers (-3.5)backed Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+86.7%+$13
Spread: Georgia Southern Eagles (-12.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+80.2%+$28.07
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100.5%+$301.63
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$415
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$246.31
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+109.3%+$255.8
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$705
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+99.5%+$333.43
Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$437.22
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+101.2%+$419.85
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$538.83
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$405
Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.4%+$245.75
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.1%+$475.83
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+106.9%+$376.44
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.1%+$14.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.