TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$655,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$664,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over52c332,889$173,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,518.4789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c257,318$123,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,805.2221754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c147,008$69,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,9149860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c83,976$44,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,506.4435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under49c61,319$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,319.2512754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c45,000$23,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,199.9690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c40,657$21,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,461.831,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over53c29,000$15,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,37074051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c24,434$12,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,705.864339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under48c15,094$7,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,849.9421262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over52c8,377$4,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.048946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c7,777$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.0413154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under48c6,474$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.9916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under49c6,165$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.9725556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6005160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Under49c4,122$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.265044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62518548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8321752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4155749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over53c754.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7418844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under48c750$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39038645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under48c728.64$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.445959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over52c639$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c538.82$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under48c499.15$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.159947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2089856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under49c360$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.66848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c347.04$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.91,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under49c329$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7910049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under49c305.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6511159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1566159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under49c285.47$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5916755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under48c275.16$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0818650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under49c260$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.611946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c259.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.58750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under48c259$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.684660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Under49c196.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.442755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c192.46$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1519657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e30…bbfebacked Under49c163.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.491330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over52c162.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8319653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under80c150.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.513158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under49c147$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Under54c143.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c131$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.954,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over49c122.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Under49c118.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.264955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.165444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under49c98.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Under49c91.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.923161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c90.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1118656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.94860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under49c84.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3217258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under49c80.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2662753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Under48c70.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.652850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13db…42a3backed Over53c70.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.72250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.528354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under49c56.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.033366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.085650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7259…620cbacked Under48c51.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.812065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Under49c50.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.734153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over52c49.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6597447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb16…6b4fbacked Under48c46.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e7…84dfbacked Over52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under49c42.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.449257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over53c41.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.29045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under49c41.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.285549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.678452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over48c39.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over53c38.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.355339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bb…6d65backed Under49c35.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a92…ebe3backed Under49c34.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Under48c34.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.695549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Over52c33.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.469134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8311858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fd…4804backed Over53c31.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over53c30.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.299543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under49c29.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9812560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under48c29.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1612054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c27.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6177…a51fbacked Over52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over53c21.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.387746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under49c20.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.625763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.