TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d0f…f3e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST11946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-4.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$825
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$199.5
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$629.98
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$427.5
Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-6.5)backed Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Creighton Bluejays vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+104.4%+$204.3
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$137.5
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$78
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$489.99
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$104
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$56.4
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$214.2
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+77.5%+$128.23
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$42
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST6659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$625
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$323.08
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$225.86
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$257.17
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$295
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$357.02
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+67.2%+$423.27
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$350
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.1%+$1,051.44
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$176.7
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,608Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$792
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$750
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$345
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+77.4%+$387.02
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$172.39
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+127.3%+$636.36
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$245
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$275
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$255
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+108.3%+$390
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$810
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$999.82
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$124.38
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$638.89
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$244.99
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$245.92
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$810
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$73.48
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$295
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$280
Panthers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,091Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+43.2%+$903.8
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$576
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$359.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$997.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+136.5%+$1,201.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$2,571.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$385.03
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+149%+$893.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$443.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$489.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.