NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16e79dab8ac2bc260f22ff2cec7ed8c09233e0b5b8e4a436759e312472981fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 977 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 49c | 92,810$45,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,156.3 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 50c | 62,338$31,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,480.72 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 49c | 17,303$8,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,564.6 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sabres | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Islanders | 51c | 9,835$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Islanders | 0c | 8,323$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 50c | 7,968$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.87 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 51c | 7,753$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.15 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 49c | 6,978$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.18 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Sabres | 51c | 6,767$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.73 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 49c | 6,438$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Islanders | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 40c | 5,520$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…36cebacked Islanders | 50c | 5,260$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74a…171cbacked Sabres | 49c | 5,234$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Islanders | 51c | 5,125$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.75 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 52c | 4,819$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.8 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9508…b9f2backed Sabres | 49c | 4,763$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…fd96backed Islanders | 50c | 4,736$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Islanders | 51c | 4,726$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.16 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…1e99backed Sabres | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 51c | 3,717$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Islanders | 50c | 3,707$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.7 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 52c | 3,506$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.06 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 50c | 3,470$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.86 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Islanders | 52c | 3,045$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.4 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Sabres | 49c | 2,890$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.12 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Islanders | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 17c | 2,458$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.61 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 50c | 2,220$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.08 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Islanders | 50c | 2,202$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 48c | 2,201$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.57 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sabres | 52c | 2,080$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.87 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Islanders | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…6971backed Sabres | 50c | 1,989$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…ca2fbacked Sabres | 50c | 1,972$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…a7edbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,971$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 50c | 1,968$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.39 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 57c | 1,965$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.81 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Sabres | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…b441backed Islanders | 51c | 1,823$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 51c | 1,782$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.77 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 67c | 1,738$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.74 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Sabres | 50c | 1,695$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.55 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,599$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.37 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Islanders | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c6…353cbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,498$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…2dc6backed Sabres | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1bc4backed Sabres | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…8af2backed Islanders | 51c | 1,498$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc528…908cbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…cc14backed Sabres | 49c | 1,497$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…e2fdbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,497$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…38f5backed Islanders | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…6cb6backed Sabres | 49c | 1,497$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…9e82backed Islanders | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…5332backed Islanders | 51c | 1,495$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…6471backed Sabres | 49c | 1,495$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…e71bbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,494$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c1e9backed Sabres | 49c | 1,494$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481f…f4f2backed Islanders | 51c | 1,494$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…3aaabacked Sabres | 49c | 1,494$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…2a5cbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,494$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7744backed Islanders | 51c | 1,494$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…236fbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,494$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…6291backed Sabres | 49c | 1,494$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…60c4backed Islanders | 51c | 1,493$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…d0b3backed Sabres | 49c | 1,493$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…6121backed Islanders | 51c | 1,493$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9946…7773backed Sabres | 49c | 1,493$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e6…29a6backed Islanders | 51c | 1,493$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa992…e1d6backed Sabres | 49c | 1,493$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…b0f8backed Sabres | 49c | 1,492$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…6bcbbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,492$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…3a06backed Islanders | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cec…49babacked Islanders | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…efacbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…b3ffbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…1637backed Sabres | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…4658backed Sabres | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…ff75backed Sabres | 49c | 1,489$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…0cfdbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f1…a74ebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,489$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…fd9cbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa093…a173backed Islanders | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…cc0ebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,489$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dc…de6bbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,489$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff0…667fbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cf…c995backed Sabres | 49c | 1,489$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…4bc3backed Sabres | 49c | 1,489$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…d426backed Islanders | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…dee8backed Islanders | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…a096backed Sabres | 49c | 1,488$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…fc12backed Sabres | 49c | 1,488$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…d242backed Islanders | 51c | 1,488$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Islandersthis page
- Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.