NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1b7895eee942d827dceda1f6ad0a0b88df1d20e31fe987521edd8a03172094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 8,404$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.22 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 4,763$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.83 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 5c | 1,266$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 13c | 1,261$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 60c | 1,190$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 41c | 658$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.22 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 5c | 526$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 444$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 59c | 216$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…0f9bbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffb…245ebacked Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 90.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 60c | 82.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 58c | 67.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 42c | 64.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Under | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 58c | 46.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 65c | 46.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. IslandersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.