TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,920,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,115,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,920,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Hawks31c322,580$99,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,496.8121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d89…b02cbacked Rockets63c200,000$125,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,5002560%15 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hawks32c199,999$63,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,074.351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Rockets70c74,241$51,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,272.3816752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Rockets66c65,160$43,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,066.8122453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets70c49,000$34,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,84723257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets68c46,308$31,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,961.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets69c45,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,8001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets72c44,005$31,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,405.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Rockets69c40,000$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,40029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets68c38,852$26,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,510.872,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks0c38,000$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets68c37,925$25,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,135.9344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets59c35,277$20,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,463.4487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Rockets66c32,427$21,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,012.3719645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets69c31,852$21,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,891.9396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Rockets65c30,065$19,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,495.446651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets65c30,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Hawks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hawks35c23,136$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe14…3bd1backed Hawks0c22,045$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hawks39c20,613$8,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,132.9355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Hawks36c20,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hawks39c19,264$7,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,511.2536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Hawks37c19,138$7,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,016.4321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks33c17,900$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,919.6261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets66c17,878$11,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Rockets62c17,210$10,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,565.2110952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hawks0c17,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rockets70c16,654$11,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,079.1948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Hawks40c16,495$6,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,598.1511252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Rockets70c15,830$11,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,74948347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Hawks36c15,517$5,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5862334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks29c15,247$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.871,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Rockets69c15,018$10,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.8719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Hawks35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hawks39c14,800$5,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.9738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hawks35c14,759$5,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,165.6639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks17c12,838$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.1948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Rockets68c12,760$8,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,083.1828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks0c11,870$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hawks36c11,772$4,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.8438148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Hawks5c10,684$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.115932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Hawks37c10,616$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc22…f48ebacked Rockets70c10,500$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks36c10,311$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.7830947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets67c10,248$6,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Rockets65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Hawks35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65e3…76bdbacked Hawks35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Hawks40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00015349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets60c10,000$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.2835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Hawks43c9,775$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.3634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Rockets64c9,759$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.6936950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Hawks41c9,399$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,82415844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Hawks32c9,278$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.121440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets75c9,262$6,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.251,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a3b…10eebacked Hawks37c9,168$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.663046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Rockets61c9,000$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5109758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Hawks39c9,000$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.986767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks2c8,967$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.991,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hawks39c8,871$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.0661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Rockets69c8,747$6,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.17957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets66c7,948$5,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.212,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks30c7,726$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.0981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Rockets65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.313938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hawks38c7,596$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.2128649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Rockets68c7,594$5,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.0829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets70c7,480$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.4952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rockets67c7,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Rockets64c6,863$4,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.666352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets69c6,445$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.052,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rockets70c6,410$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.988543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks23c6,287$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Rockets69c6,062$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.145350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Hawks39c6,002$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.6811244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Rockets60c6,001$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.413148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets69c5,971$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Rockets64c5,886$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.9645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rockets66c5,828$3,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Rockets63c5,698$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.3728742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Hawks33c5,658$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86717454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Rockets60c5,555$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22236741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Rockets70c5,471$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.0911142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks0c5,350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks33c5,057$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.941,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a68…3b20backed Hawks35c5,005$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.742441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Rockets60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Rockets60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5f18backed Hawks39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5057…cf88backed Rockets62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ee…8250backed Rockets60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Hawks35c4,966$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73812454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Hawks39c4,872$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Hawks35c4,836$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.62650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…24f9backed Hawks36c4,780$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks35c4,297$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.142,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Hawks30c4,182$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.165251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.