TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36a0…fb7ebacked Over47c12,700$5,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,969333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under54c11,310$6,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,202.8229055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb42c…971cbacked Under53c9,400$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,418742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over45c8,000$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60517249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c7,496$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.481,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c7,141$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…996cbacked Over47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…d570backed Over47c5,544$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e9…db2abacked Under53c4,786$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe0…b728backed Under53c4,568$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df0…6ab2backed Over47c4,321$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…b47fbacked Under53c4,070$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdea3…24eabacked Over47c3,540$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over45c3,431$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.9187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7931…6750backed Under53c3,422$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa6…6b31backed Under53c3,298$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.026100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb265…2724backed Under53c3,100$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cf…ea9bbacked Over5c3,097$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c3,042$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over5c2,900$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b6…a2fbbacked Under53c2,898$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4369…38abbacked Over47c2,542$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e7…87e1backed Over47c2,513$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc156…e829backed Over47c2,354$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bca…23afbacked Over47c2,244$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4c…a0ecbacked Over47c2,214$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d57…9b20backed Under53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e1…791fbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over44c1,903$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.3819647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under53c1,897$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…7a26backed Under53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eac…aaecbacked Over47c1,557$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c7…af6dbacked Under53c1,534$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.984100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over11c1,225$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.961,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c46…8913backed Under53c1,011$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under59c879.66$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3324549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over46c833.91$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.66756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c758.25$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c748.97$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.941,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c739.65$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.192,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c717.29$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c681$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6100…563dbacked Under53c588$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c510.17$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c0…cf10backed Under53c412$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under57c344$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.322,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf048…dddfbacked Under53c335$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over15c259$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over47c251.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2327943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c199.85$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9341052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over46c184.39$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4612143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8567…56a3backed Under55c154.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.55785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over40c151.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.762,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over42c139.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over46c132.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2521645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over43c114.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.863,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ef…6f72backed Under53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Under53c100.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.258043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4642551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over46c81.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7635747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over14c78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9217243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under58c70.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Over46c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ba…f09dbacked Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014456.9%82 W · 62 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6b2…fba9backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over46c60.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0526043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c56.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.571,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8416036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over42c53.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over46c49.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9953043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over42c47.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over29c47.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.861,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.174660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c45.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.562,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3beb…77d1backed Over45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88345.8%38 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over46c43.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9919242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf584…d8dabacked Under58c42.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.933961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Under56c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.723636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over46c35.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over46c30.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over44c28.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.554854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Over48c26.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.817750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under59c26.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under57c26.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2916343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2239041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x768c…7243backed Over45c25.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168e…98b3backed Under62c24.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.272759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.284755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60be…aefcbacked Over46c23.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.