TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6b2…fba9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+179.8%+$26.79
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.32
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$3.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$10.44
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+350.9%+$138.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.26
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.55
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.85
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.01
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.83
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+94.8%+$14.22
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+93.3%+$18.65
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.8%+$11.41
Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$99.04
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+98.4%+$29.52
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+108.2%+$53.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+225.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advancebacked LASK Linz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+225.4%+$43.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$24.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.