NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60292cb71304ce98ed602c519a698ae483eedd73225ff800b4ab946b3dc306a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $535,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $568,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Capitals | 60c | 113,322$68,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,324.46 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 43c | 77,800$33,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,454.06 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Sharks | 38c | 45,279$17,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,073.1 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 62c | 39,961$24,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,771.97 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 36c | 28,029$10,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,826.27 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sharks | 39c | 27,000$10,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,470 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Capitals | 61c | 23,000$14,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,029.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 60c | 19,019$11,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,411.43 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 40c | 15,414$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,263.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 61c | 14,442$8,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,809.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Capitals | 62c | 13,093$8,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,117.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Capitals | 62c | 11,844$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,343.28 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Sharks | 38c | 11,843$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,343.44 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 64c | 10,131$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sharks | 40c | 8,750$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Sharks | 40c | 8,500$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Capitals | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Capitals | 23c | 6,858$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.77 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 37c | 6,500$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Sharks | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Capitals | 61c | 5,639$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.76 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Capitals | 60c | 5,468$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.71 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sharks | 39c | 5,431$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.77 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Capitals | 62c | 5,258$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.67 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sharks | 79c | 5,220$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.38 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sharks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Sharks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 39c | 4,859$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.73 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Sharks | 37c | 4,525$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.85 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 62c | 4,432$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.89 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Capitals | 59c | 4,306$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.45 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Sharks | 44c | 4,151$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.42 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sharks | 31c | 4,084$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.4 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Capitals | 62c | 4,040$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Capitals | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Sharks | 43c | 3,946$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.79 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 49c | 3,876$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.76 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Capitals | 63c | 3,613$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.06 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 37c | 3,609$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.57 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…bfa6backed Capitals | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 37c | 3,485$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.41 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Capitals | 60c | 3,255$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.62 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Sharks | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 19c | 2,812$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.98 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Capitals | 62c | 2,720$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.4 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Sharks | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.9 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 38c | 2,690$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.51 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sharks | 47c | 2,622$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.44 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Sharks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…eaf9backed Sharks | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 60c | 2,338$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 61c | 2,300$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.22 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 62c | 2,280$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.67 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 15c | 2,200$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Capitals | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Capitals | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Sharks | 38c | 1,958$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.18 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Capitals | 63c | 1,938$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.24 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Sharks | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.08 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed Sharks | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Capitals | 64c | 1,900$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Capitals | 64c | 1,802$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 62c | 1,763$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.34 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Capitals | 29c | 1,754$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.28 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,666$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.24 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Capitals | 61c | 1,654$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.94 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals | 42c | 1,628$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.11 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Capitals | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Sharks | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.22 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Capitals | 16c | 1,566$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 61c | 1,522$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Capitals | 2c | 1,508$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sharks | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 63c | 1,490$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.7 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Sharks | 40c | 1,481$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.1 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 15c | 1,476$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 29c | 1,442$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,341$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.1 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Capitals | 23c | 1,309$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Sharks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Sharks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,270$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.4 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…f90fbacked Sharks | 39c | 1,233$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…726fbacked Sharks | 39c | 1,110$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Capitals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.02 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sharks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…c71fbacked Sharks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Sharks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.94 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Sharks | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sharks | 47c | 952.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.45 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Capitalsthis page
- Sharks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.