TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66c9…2e68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST6758.2%39 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,727.56
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$338.61
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,903Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+54%+$1,568.86
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25.8%+$3,743.83
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,483.9
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+99.2%+$2,928.11
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$872.99
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$280.36
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+55.2%+$1,657.23
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$393.41
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,082.22
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$298.7
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+67.2%+$1,344.45
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$833.77
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,261.71
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.6%+$1,543.93
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37.6%+$751.53
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST4778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$702.9
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.4%+$568.57
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$898.55
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+102.6%+$2,052.78
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$702.7
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+30.1%+$601.18
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25.5%+$255.13
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.7%+$476.73
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.5%+$690.56
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+43%+$860.33
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+46.4%+$464.36
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.8%+$358.16
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+40.6%+$405.52
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$265.82
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.1%+$491.47
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.3%+$586.69
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+36.3%+$363.05
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.2%+$352.14
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+98.8%+$494.14
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+39%+$1,486.24
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+76.4%+$1,146.3
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+109.2%+$109.16
Will Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.8%+$117.8
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.5%+$46.23
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$49.97
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+669.2%+$334.62
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.4%+$99.63
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+354.5%+$354.55
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42%+$84.05
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.5%+$7.66
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+34.7%+$8.44
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+81%+$324.08
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.2%+$47.19
Will FC Augsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+77.3%+$77.34
Will Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.1%+$94.69
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+46%+$137.93
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+32.9%+$7.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+489.7%+$734.55
Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$146.83
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+210.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$3,999.98
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$27,299.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,336.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21,505.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.