Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85eb3234c247c07e9e571d4140aff3396af5a8947d140db1f1916b42728f41db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 34c | 31,514$10,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,694.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 0c | 22,522$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 18,164$10,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,865.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 13,397$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 17c | 7,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 78c | 6,932$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 6,543$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.34 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 71c | 5,600$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 77c | 4,482$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,332$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.58 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 3,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.08 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 77c | 2,544$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,154$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.17 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,153$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.28 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 70cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 1,201$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.55 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed No | 1c | 1,133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 77c | 1,103$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 75c | 1,060$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 77c | 1,046$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 953$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.28 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 27c | 695.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…e1a3backed Yes | 73c | 564.4$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 77c | 550.5$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.89 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 23c | 542.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.62 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 17c | 470.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.59 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 37c | 399.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 35c | 362.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 357.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 22c | 349.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 23c | 339.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 326.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 26c | 312.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 276$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked No | 28c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 10c | 242.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…3527backed Yes | 71c | 224.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 70c | 219.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…e33ebacked No | 77c | 180.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 36c | 174.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…89ccbacked No | 77c | 174.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…3020backed No | 77c | 172.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 26c | 170.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 49c | 169.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 24c | 163.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 24c | 162.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 24c | 162.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b729backed No | 77c | 159.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…dcb4backed No | 77c | 157.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…f285backed No | 77c | 154.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked No | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd8…ec8dbacked No | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…f5a8backed No | 77c | 146.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…9937backed No | 77c | 142.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c18…5e7cbacked No | 77c | 138.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 39c | 138.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…56e1backed No | 77c | 137.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked No | 78c | 136.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…5c69backed No | 77c | 133.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 58c | 131.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…69d8backed No | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 129.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +287.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed No | 28c | 109.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 23c | 107.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 54c | 92.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 69c | 84.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 28c | 81.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 65c | 81.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes | 69c | 74.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 22c | 72.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 62c | 70.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 63.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed Yes | 73c | 56.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…1f7dbacked Yes | 69c | 51.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 23c | 50.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.