Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc263dbfbc85baa99dae65bcbcc4f9af5a3e630ef409dac3e5f14a9f8c7de6fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 31,693$12,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,705.77 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 39c | 25,457$9,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,488.77 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 38c | 24,356$9,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,017.41 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 44c | 22,052$9,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,458.22 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 57c | 16,086$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 14,000$8,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 40c | 11,500$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 11,251$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.86 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Yes | 0c | 11,108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Yes | 59c | 11,000$6,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 59c | 10,600$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 58c | 10,001$5,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 73c | 7,023$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 40c | 6,800$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,713$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Yes | 0c | 6,264$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 5,465$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 41c | 5,117$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.18 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 61c | 4,470$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.6 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 61c | 4,407$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.57 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 4,024$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 59c | 3,797$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.01 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 39c | 3,650$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.49 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 56c | 3,500$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.5 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.97 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.47 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 3,284$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.15 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 62c | 3,264$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 39c | 3,121$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.45 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 40c | 3,073$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.64 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 3,004$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.06 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,945$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.93 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 56c | 2,863$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.78 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 56c | 2,641$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 38c | 2,600$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 22c | 2,414$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 60c | 2,400$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 40c | 2,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,698$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.58 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 38c | 1,568$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,429$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.96 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 38c | 1,393$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 60c | 1,361$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 1,302$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.84 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 80c | 1,249$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.27 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…113dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,241$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 38c | 1,128$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.36 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 44c | 1,124$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 49c | 1,012$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.64 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…8390backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed No | 50c | 997.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 61c | 811.93$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 59c | 776.21$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.96 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 40c | 748.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.1 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 63c | 689.99$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 41c | 654.06$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…e2a2backed No | 41c | 621$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 56c | 617.88$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 42c | 555$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 21c | 549.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 58c | 518$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 40c | 508$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 41c | 499.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 53c | 473.36$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 59c | 426.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 61c | 375.51$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 373.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.43 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 58c | 373.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked No | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…3527backed Yes | 25c | 321.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 77c | 298.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 43c | 293.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 20c | 271.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.