TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b87…d438

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$166.67
CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
UD Almería vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$109.74
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.5%+$108.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,284.61
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$923.08
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Burgos CF vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.2%+$55.2
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+48.2%+$96.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,995.38
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$808.18
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$94.24
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$185.92
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$73.89
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$94
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+105.5%+$105.53
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$47.15
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$42.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$87.14
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+102%+$102.76
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$180.69
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.3%+$42.01
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96%+$192.02
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+102.8%+$204.67
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$665.79
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$525.64
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+45.7%+$45.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.9%+$228.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$298.81
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$59.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$153.68
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+110.8%+$534.73
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-3.5)backed Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-10.5)backed Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$101
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+68.1%+$136.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$118.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.