NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x776dae435cf764a59af8a859817d284db5b3e8e605241120d94087d3ae69c9a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Capitals, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,561,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,655,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,561,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 981 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Capitals | 36c | 500,000$180,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,999.99 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Avalanche | 64c | 305,110$195,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,839.66 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Capitals | 35c | 115,245$40,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 68c | 106,780$72,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,103.42 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Avalanche | 64c | 67,200$43,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,192 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Avalanche | 65c | 60,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Avalanche | 64c | 56,000$35,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,160 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 64c | 53,901$34,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,404.36 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Capitals | 34c | 50,252$17,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,085.51 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Avalanche | 64c | 44,625$28,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,064.96 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.97 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Capitals | 32c | 32,364$10,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,356.62 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 65c | 29,832$19,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,341.85 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 65c | 17,789$11,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.61 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Capitals | 36c | 15,642$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.98 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Capitals | 35c | 15,621$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,462.47 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Capitals | 33c | 14,573$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.17 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Capitals | 36c | 14,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 34c | 14,000$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 33c | 12,447$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.51 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Avalanche | 66c | 12,159$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Capitals | 35c | 11,429$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Capitals | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Avalanche | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Avalanche | 66c | 8,902$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 33c | 7,979$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche | 65c | 7,190$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.42 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Capitals | 32c | 7,033$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.61 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 33c | 6,500$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.85 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 32c | 6,433$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.08 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Capitals | 32c | 6,332$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 66c | 6,169$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.35 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 66c | 6,059$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.09 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Capitals | 37c | 5,150$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.34 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 65c | 5,018$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Capitals | 33c | 4,786$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.9 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Capitals | 36c | 4,647$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.48 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…339ebacked Avalanche | 64c | 4,501$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Avalanche | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 35c | 4,370$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.3 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 75c | 4,345$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.77 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Capitals | 36c | 4,056$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Avalanche | 70c | 4,049$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…85d2backed Capitals | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Capitals | 33c | 3,898$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Avalanche | 64c | 3,773$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.28 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Capitals | 36c | 3,763$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,758$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301a…72a8backed Avalanche | 64c | 3,508$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…e1f2backed Capitals | 36c | 3,454$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 3,433$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.08 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Capitals | 34c | 3,400$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 33c | 3,354$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.83 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 34c | 3,212$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.03 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 26c | 3,071$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.23 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…1d6ebacked Avalanche | 70c | 3,001$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 70c | 3,000$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.9 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche | 65c | 2,964$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.23 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Avalanche | 66c | 2,906$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.05 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Capitals | 35c | 2,859$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.78 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Capitals | 35c | 2,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Capitals | 35c | 2,810$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 30c | 2,720$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.95 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 66c | 2,597$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.79 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,556$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.02 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Avalanche | 68c | 2,426$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.21 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Avalanche | 64c | 2,380$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Capitals | 35c | 2,250$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Capitals | 11c | 2,222$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 35c | 2,200$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 36c | 2,090$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 65c | 2,089$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.12 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Capitals | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Capitals | 32c | 2,041$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.69 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Capitals | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Capitals | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Capitals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,953$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.13 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Capitals | 35c | 1,900$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc9…d553backed Capitals | 35c | 1,857$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Capitals | 1c | 1,819$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,818$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.28 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 30c | 1,779$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals | 1c | 1,777$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,730$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.49 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Capitals | 32c | 1,714$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…d0b7backed Capitals | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 18c | 1,599$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 30c | 1,580$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 35c | 1,564$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.44 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Capitals | 34c | 1,521$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.14 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…7b16backed Avalanche | 66c | 1,499$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…9ca9backed Capitals | 34c | 1,499$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c48backed Avalanche | 66c | 1,498$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…c496backed Capitals | 34c | 1,498$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…2567backed Capitals | 34c | 1,493$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Avalanchethis page
- Capitals vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.