NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a6721b7adf52abb2909f5aa442c71204e60410b798c40b0c6f5d988efb4588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf17b…d0a7backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…853cbacked Over | 50c | 9,490$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…0e34backed Over | 50c | 5,868$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa711…4ab0backed Under | 50c | 5,705$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…cf80backed Over | 50c | 5,409$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…e2a4backed Under | 50c | 5,245$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…a83abacked Over | 51c | 4,333$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…755cbacked Under | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…0c6fbacked Under | 49c | 3,237$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c28…5298backed Over | 51c | 3,203$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…0b5dbacked Over | 51c | 3,083$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…c015backed Under | 50c | 2,988$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21f…2d35backed Over | 50c | 2,951$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…1aefbacked Under | 50c | 2,922$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52af…7f00backed Over | 50c | 2,914$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…0d44backed Under | 49c | 2,667$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…0212backed Over | 51c | 2,637$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…abf5backed Under | 50c | 2,566$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…8749backed Over | 50c | 2,518$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…069dbacked Under | 50c | 2,513$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…b558backed Over | 50c | 2,495$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e37…3849backed Over | 51c | 2,345$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…cdeebacked Under | 49c | 2,303$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…36b5backed Under | 50c | 2,210$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…cabbbacked Under | 50c | 2,183$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…3175backed Over | 50c | 2,180$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8c…0f78backed Over | 50c | 2,179$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74a…d79bbacked Under | 49c | 1,981$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…76acbacked Over | 51c | 1,956$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,954$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…f178backed Under | 50c | 1,686$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…6133backed Over | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 1,573$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.77 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…bc82backed Under | 50c | 1,539$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…3df4backed Over | 50c | 1,405$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a9fabacked Under | 49c | 1,157$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…b8c4backed Under | 49c | 1,035$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 900$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…1b1ebacked Under | 49c | 891$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 884.37$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 756.73$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 48c | 731.67$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…7b18backed Over | 52c | 513.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 512.45$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 500.59$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 64c | 478.67$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 23c | 442.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 434.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 70c | 322$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Under | 39c | 304.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 256.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd440…a32ebacked Under | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 51c | 203.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Under | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 35c | 149.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Under | 22c | 149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 140$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…5670backed Under | 71c | 130$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 49c | 123.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 107$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…ea58backed Under | 49c | 105.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…0a70backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 48c | 98.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 67c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 48c | 62.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 49c | 60.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 54.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 38.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 56c | 35.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 72c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 24.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…3425backed Under | 53c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…477cbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Capitals vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.