NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75b2507ecfcdc7c81ac4dd820432a384fe4ccff919a16c773d57e34d9c0f306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Avalanche | 45c | 16,767$7,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,221.95 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Avalanche | 46c | 14,748$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,964.1 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Capitals | 55c | 14,321$7,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,876.63 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 54c | 12,634$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,822.21 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…9484backed Avalanche | 46c | 5,773$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…9c0cbacked Capitals | 54c | 5,654$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…8bf7backed Avalanche | 46c | 4,272$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…6c55backed Capitals | 54c | 4,236$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…5149backed Avalanche | 46c | 3,959$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…ea0fbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,938$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…1f95backed Capitals | 54c | 3,101$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…6621backed Avalanche | 46c | 3,070$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…29d2backed Capitals | 54c | 2,935$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…d157backed Avalanche | 46c | 2,923$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…3ec9backed Capitals | 54c | 2,687$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…472ebacked Avalanche | 46c | 2,655$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…ea0cbacked Avalanche | 46c | 2,562$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d8…df77backed Capitals | 54c | 2,562$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…880ebacked Capitals | 54c | 2,441$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…cc5fbacked Avalanche | 46c | 2,432$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…47c1backed Capitals | 54c | 2,306$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…f10fbacked Avalanche | 46c | 2,266$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…d488backed Avalanche | 46c | 2,256$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9946…673cbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,242$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…6eb9backed Capitals | 54c | 2,212$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…0a55backed Avalanche | 46c | 2,097$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…c7c3backed Capitals | 54c | 2,010$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…914bbacked Avalanche | 46c | 1,992$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…e92cbacked Avalanche | 46c | 1,923$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…4e32backed Capitals | 54c | 1,825$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a857backed Capitals | 54c | 1,781$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc5…1915backed Avalanche | 46c | 1,777$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,748$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,429$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.22 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 55c | 1,334$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.69 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Capitals | 55c | 1,209$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…7680backed Capitals | 54c | 1,170$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…8dc5backed Avalanche | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 47c | 822.61$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 48c | 794.75$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.49 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 46c | 736$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 54c | 520$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Avalanche | 46c | 430.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…7e21backed Avalanche | 59c | 419.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 67c | 347$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Avalanche | 47c | 309.06$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 45c | 300.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed Capitals | 63c | 284.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Capitals | 55c | 260$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Avalanche | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Avalanche | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Capitals | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Avalanche | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Capitals | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Avalanche | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 51c | 124.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Avalanche | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Capitals | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Avalanche | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…cc22backed Capitals | 46c | 106.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Avalanche | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Capitals | 56c | 103.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Capitals | 52c | 97.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Avalanche | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Avalanche | 51c | 94.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Avalanche | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche | 71c | 70.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Avalanche | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 45c | 69.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Avalanche | 47c | 61.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Capitals | 53c | 61.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Avalanche | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 48c | 56.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 56c | 55.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Avalanche | 46c | 53.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Avalanche | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Capitals | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Avalanche | 47c | 42.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Avalanche | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…12babacked Avalanche | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Capitals | 54c | 37.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Capitals | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Capitals | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Capitals | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Capitals | 55c | 21.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805c…6963backed Capitals | 63c | 16.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Capitals vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Capitals vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.